Live 2020 Election Turnout Tracker

Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.

First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.

Live Results

As of 2:37 PM, 292 voters in 34 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 209,838 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 184,845 - 231,769). In addition, more than 346,196 mail-in ballots have already been returned*, and 89,200 are still outstanding.

NOTE: The above mail counts are copied from the state data. There is a lag in the returned mail-ins showing up in that data. Some mail-ins that have already arrived are probably not included. In addition, all ballots postmarked today that arrive by 11/6 will be counted, as long as the Supreme Court does not interfere.

Maps

I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.

Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In)

Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In) vs 2016

In-Person Turnout

Mail-In Requests

Mail-In Ballots Returned

Raw Responses (for debugging)

Submissions

Data Tables

For those of you who like tables with numbers.

Estimated Turnout by Ward
ward time_of_day turnout turnout_p025 turnout_p975
01 2:37 PM 3080 c(2.5% = 2744) c(97.5% = 3375)
02 2:37 PM 4804 c(2.5% = 4262) c(97.5% = 5306)
03 2:37 PM 2760 c(2.5% = 2266) c(97.5% = 3180)
04 2:37 PM 2724 c(2.5% = 2264) c(97.5% = 3152)
05 2:37 PM 7028 c(2.5% = 6132) c(97.5% = 7937)
06 2:37 PM 1853 c(2.5% = 1564) c(97.5% = 2044)
07 2:37 PM 1688 c(2.5% = 1172) c(97.5% = 2100)
08 2:37 PM 6452 c(2.5% = 5733) c(97.5% = 7381)
09 2:37 PM 3128 c(2.5% = 2664) c(97.5% = 3732)
10 2:37 PM 4026 c(2.5% = 3259) c(97.5% = 4586)
11 2:37 PM 1738 c(2.5% = 1407) c(97.5% = 2068)
12 2:37 PM 3006 c(2.5% = 2478) c(97.5% = 3409)
13 2:37 PM 2706 c(2.5% = 2213) c(97.5% = 3131)
14 2:37 PM 1190 c(2.5% = 1017) c(97.5% = 1298)
15 2:37 PM 3426 c(2.5% = 3078) c(97.5% = 3743)
16 2:37 PM 1441 c(2.5% = 1165) c(97.5% = 1730)
17 2:37 PM 3334 c(2.5% = 2762) c(97.5% = 3854)
18 2:37 PM 3010 c(2.5% = 2527) c(97.5% = 3326)
19 2:37 PM 1369 c(2.5% = 997) c(97.5% = 1669)
20 2:37 PM 1292 c(2.5% = 1007) c(97.5% = 1512)
21 2:37 PM 7603 c(2.5% = 6730) c(97.5% = 8563)
22 2:37 PM 4329 c(2.5% = 3587) c(97.5% = 4893)
23 2:37 PM 2438 c(2.5% = 2029) c(97.5% = 2754)
24 2:37 PM 2061 c(2.5% = 1673) c(97.5% = 2366)
25 2:37 PM 1962 c(2.5% = 1559) c(97.5% = 2324)
26 2:37 PM 2937 c(2.5% = 2487) c(97.5% = 3166)
27 2:37 PM 3375 c(2.5% = 2409) c(97.5% = 4869)
28 2:37 PM 1540 c(2.5% = 1223) c(97.5% = 1862)
29 2:37 PM 1554 c(2.5% = 1341) c(97.5% = 1733)
30 2:37 PM 3020 c(2.5% = 2688) c(97.5% = 3448)
31 2:37 PM 2589 c(2.5% = 2123) c(97.5% = 2892)
32 2:37 PM 2531 c(2.5% = 2084) c(97.5% = 2914)
33 2:37 PM 1986 c(2.5% = 1435) c(97.5% = 2475)
34 2:37 PM 5689 c(2.5% = 4870) c(97.5% = 6266)
35 2:37 PM 3723 c(2.5% = 3106) c(97.5% = 4188)
36 2:37 PM 4683 c(2.5% = 4072) c(97.5% = 5086)
37 2:37 PM 1626 c(2.5% = 1329) c(97.5% = 1923)
38 2:37 PM 2819 c(2.5% = 2511) c(97.5% = 3060)
39 2:37 PM 5677 c(2.5% = 4999) c(97.5% = 6200)
40 2:37 PM 5801 c(2.5% = 4740) c(97.5% = 6385)
41 2:37 PM 2239 c(2.5% = 1772) c(97.5% = 2620)
42 2:37 PM 2838 c(2.5% = 2213) c(97.5% = 3234)
43 2:37 PM 2229 c(2.5% = 1704) c(97.5% = 2558)
44 2:37 PM 1830 c(2.5% = 1520) c(97.5% = 2112)
45 2:37 PM 2496 c(2.5% = 2023) c(97.5% = 2898)
46 2:37 PM 3557 c(2.5% = 3111) c(97.5% = 4081)
47 2:37 PM 1102 c(2.5% = 932) c(97.5% = 1230)
48 2:37 PM 2571 c(2.5% = 2135) c(97.5% = 2831)
49 2:37 PM 3315 c(2.5% = 2811) c(97.5% = 3681)
50 2:37 PM 4750 c(2.5% = 3849) c(97.5% = 5378)
51 2:37 PM 2972 c(2.5% = 2478) c(97.5% = 3420)
52 2:37 PM 3719 c(2.5% = 3139) c(97.5% = 4272)
53 2:37 PM 2504 c(2.5% = 2021) c(97.5% = 2846)
54 2:37 PM 1764 c(2.5% = 1325) c(97.5% = 2141)
55 2:37 PM 2893 c(2.5% = 2275) c(97.5% = 3475)
56 2:37 PM 4243 c(2.5% = 3464) c(97.5% = 4922)
57 2:37 PM 3706 c(2.5% = 3141) c(97.5% = 4141)
58 2:37 PM 6134 c(2.5% = 5092) c(97.5% = 6993)
59 2:37 PM 3223 c(2.5% = 2698) c(97.5% = 3591)
60 2:37 PM 2561 c(2.5% = 2153) c(97.5% = 2909)
61 2:37 PM 3851 c(2.5% = 3181) c(97.5% = 4352)
62 2:37 PM 2676 c(2.5% = 2076) c(97.5% = 3118)
63 2:37 PM 3555 c(2.5% = 3057) c(97.5% = 4011)
64 2:37 PM 2002 c(2.5% = 1607) c(97.5% = 2343)
65 2:37 PM 2956 c(2.5% = 2514) c(97.5% = 3310)
66 2:37 PM 6158 c(2.5% = 5224) c(97.5% = 6807)

Raw Submissions

Submitted Data
Time of Vote Precinct Voter Number
7:10 AM 5107 2
7:41 AM 0537 24
7:42 AM 0501 14
7:43 AM 0828 33
7:03 AM 2714 2
7:40 AM 1508 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:25 AM 0214 16
7:56 AM 3636 33
7:13 AM 0218 9
8:07 AM 4603 27
8:16 AM 0218 60
8:18 AM 0222 68
8:10 AM 1810 36
8:20 AM 3635 57
8:30 AM 3110 55
8:32 AM 0532 69
8:30 AM 2707 45
8:32 AM 2702 48
8:15 AM 3901 52
8:15 AM 3640 64
8:38 AM 3638 55
8:38 AM 3637 31
8:42 AM 0525 64
8:40 AM 0501 36
7:30 AM 0202 28
8:40 AM 0537 56
8:12 AM 4616 41
8:35 AM 3909 65
8:43 AM 0517 69
8:49 AM 0834 73
8:49 AM 0206 69
8:50 AM 0828 77
8:07 AM 0801 40
7:30 AM 3640 31
7:30 AM 3104 29
8:50 AM 0213 25
8:40 AM 2717 56
8:45 AM 2101 47
8:25 AM 3945 52
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
9:02 AM 1503 92
7:15 AM 0902 12
8:40 AM 2717 56
7:01 AM 0807 13
9:09 AM 4701 73
8:50 AM 0213 25
9:10 AM 1514 81
7:55 AM 1517 30
9:00 AM 3914 40
8:00 AM 5702 60
8:30 AM 2105 91
8:30 AM 2105 91
9:15 AM 2714 51
8:15 AM 2605 56
9:20 AM 3637 100
9:20 AM 3638 79
8:30 AM 0521 92
9:20 AM 0532 112
9:15 AM 1802 73
9:24 AM 2911 62
9:03 AM 0229 95
9:23 AM 0812 138
8:50 AM 0828 77
9:00 AM 3107 100
9:15 AM 3639 86
9:15 AM 0120 76
9:30 AM 0308 109
9:30 AM 0807 98
9:25 AM 3610 84
9:34 AM 0818 50
9:34 AM 0818 50
9:35 AM 0817 107
8:40 AM 1514 68
8:00 AM 0106 69
8:40 AM 1514 68
9:38 AM 6008 49
9:30 AM 3636 108
7:15 AM 0114 9
9:46 AM 3111 104
9:47 AM 0204 72
9:50 AM 0505 92
9:55 AM 0528 148
9:45 AM 0224 110
9:45 AM 0224 109
7:45 AM 0517 35
9:58 AM 3636 120
9:49 AM 2212 74
8:00 AM 0817 100
10:05 AM 1503 129
10:02 AM 0517 135
8:15 AM 3516 56
7:20 AM 2217 17
8:15 AM 3516 56
7:40 AM 2105 45
10:00 AM 0110 97
9:40 AM 0222 97
10:00 AM 2622 82
10:03 AM 3006 101
8:15 AM 2619 77
10:02 AM 0835 100
10:18 AM 3104 156
10:20 AM 4701 114
7:45 AM 0516 41
10:18 AM 0515 420
8:28 AM 0516 70
9:50 AM 0505 92
10:15 AM 3641 78
9:50 AM 0505 92
10:29 AM 0509 188
10:30 AM 1513 95
8:00 AM 2113 13
10:39 AM 0537 108
10:40 AM 0501 75
10:15 AM 3115 144
10:10 AM 4603 60
9:45 AM 1517 101
10:40 AM 0206 115
10:42 AM 0505 117
10:44 AM 0834 93
9:30 AM 0807 98
10:45 AM 0807 115
10:45 AM 1503 147
10:45 AM 0309 129
10:40 AM 3629 76
10:52 AM 1717 90
10:52 AM 1717 90
7:30 AM 1802 38
10:50 AM 2706 156
10:45 AM 2713 96
10:02 AM 4622 131
11:00 AM 2707 86
11:10 AM 3113 101
8:30 AM 0201 103
8:40 AM 0824 57
11:07 AM 6008 67
8:00 AM 4601 37
11:00 AM 2208 91
9:00 AM 0822 1
11:00 AM 2101 131
10:00 AM 0101 79
10:00 AM 0102 90
10:00 AM 0103 136
10:00 AM 0104 92
10:00 AM 0105 45
10:00 AM 0106 93
10:00 AM 0107 40
10:00 AM 0108 89
10:00 AM 0109 83
10:00 AM 0110 104
10:00 AM 0111 86
10:00 AM 0112 69
10:00 AM 0113 122
10:00 AM 0114 85
10:00 AM 0115 139
10:00 AM 0116 68
10:00 AM 0117 79
10:00 AM 0118 121
10:00 AM 0119 75
10:00 AM 0120 106
10:00 AM 0121 130
11:17 AM 3943 119
11:00 AM 1811 150
11:18 AM 4701 135
11:00 AM 3103 5
11:15 AM 0526 175
11:00 AM 5904 142
8:30 AM 0504 105
11:22 AM 1503 156
9:02 AM 0120 63
8:10 AM 0819 60
11:29 AM 0213 47
9:15 AM 0904 69
11:30 AM 3914 140
11:30 AM 4920 110
10:00 AM 3945 156
11:00 AM 0102 111
11:00 AM 0108 105
11:00 AM 0109 89
11:00 AM 0107 54
11:30 AM 0833 124
11:00 AM 0104 120
7:50 AM 4622 31
11:00 AM 0105 47
11:30 AM 1810 140
11:39 AM 0834 106
11:32 AM 0116 99
11:43 AM 0537 122
11:43 AM 0501 99
11:45 AM 2702 88
11:40 AM 4808 118
11:53 AM 0528 194
11:45 AM 1815 121
11:45 AM 1816 192
11:45 AM 1817 193
11:45 AM 0217 111
11:50 AM 3610 112
11:50 AM 0217 112
12:00 PM 3637 153
12:00 PM 3638 118
9:40 AM 0218 88
12:05 PM 0110 127
9:20 AM 0803 123
9:22 AM 0803 125
11:00 AM 0209 104
7:22 AM 0506 9
12:01 PM 0101 96
12:01 PM 0103 164
12:00 PM 2125 127
12:01 PM 0107 69
12:01 PM 0110 127
12:01 PM 0114 128
12:01 PM 0115 191
12:01 PM 0117 175
12:01 PM 0119 166
12:15 PM 1503 175
12:01 PM 0121 160
10:00 AM 2702 65
12:15 PM 4903 216
7:01 AM 1511 17
12:02 PM 0526 182
12:29 PM 3103 175
12:29 PM 3113 151
10:47 AM 1507 1
12:38 PM 1716 80
11:00 AM 6522 121
12:38 PM 0528 208
12:38 PM 0528 208
11:00 AM 0120 127
12:23 PM 6008 80
7:40 AM 6509 22
8:00 AM 4618 32
12:50 PM 0525 121
12:02 PM 0831 123
12:30 PM 3007 161
12:30 PM 5217 120
12:55 PM 4002 146
7:25 AM 0532 35
12:40 PM 0529 58
1:04 PM 1902 128
1:05 PM 1903 72
1:05 PM 1904 81
1:02 PM 2702 100
1:12 PM 0834 113
8:20 AM 0810 66
12:29 PM 3113 151
1:00 PM 3609 112
7:01 AM 2122 20
1:20 PM 1514 117
1:25 PM 3006 141
1:30 PM 3914 175
1:29 PM 4320 120
1:30 PM 0517 194
11:10 AM 3105 1
1:30 PM 2701 119
7:45 AM 4616 34
9:15 AM 4125 74
1:43 PM 1717 115
1:43 PM 0537 130
1:45 PM 0817 166
8:30 AM 2605 76
1:43 PM 0501 133
1:45 PM 0818 88
1:43 PM 1717 115
10:40 AM 1510 121
1:45 PM 1810 188
1:48 PM 3943 160
1:51 PM 3637 170
1:52 PM 3638 137
1:45 PM 1817 238
2:00 PM 3103 194
9:00 AM 2719 1
2:05 PM 4701 166
1:45 PM 2911 109
8:00 AM 0510 63
10:30 AM 3942 90
8:00 AM 4616 49
2:25 PM 6414 114
2:27 PM 0834 124
2:28 PM 1810 216
2:28 PM 1503 202
2:30 PM 1802 139
2:30 PM 2706 220
2:30 PM 1801 204
11:00 AM 0914 46
2:36 PM 1514 125
2:15 PM 3909 158
2:37 PM 4616 153
1:50 PM 3002 131
7:05 AM 2622 6

Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions